Friday, February 22, 2019

These Three Women Have Been Getting Venezuela Right For Years

&l;p&g;&l;img class=&q;dam-image ap size-large wp-image-a850ce71f7084b5b97085af6b2b6b1a8&q; src=&q;https://specials-images.forbesimg.com/dam/imageserve/a850ce71f7084b5b97085af6b2b6b1a8/960x0.jpg?fit=scale&q; data-height=&q;657&q; data-width=&q;960&q;&g; A woman, holding a Venezuelan national flag smiles as she listens to opposition leader Juan Guaido in Caracas, Venezuela on Feb. 12, 2019. The country is a failed state. Few have called this crisis correctly. (AP Photo/Boris Vergara) photo credit: ASSOCIATED PRESS

The ruling Socialists United of Venezuela (PSUV) is building a wall. Sort of. President Nicolas Maduro is closing the &l;a href=&q;https://apnews.com/156d8be53f63499eba58b46456e84baf&q; target=&q;_blank&q;&g;border with Brazil &l;/a&g;and Colombia is next, especially if the two countries try sending in humanitarian aid such as medical supplies and food this weekend.

None of this is a surprise to three women who have watched Venezuela closely for than 70 years combined. On the political side, Caracas-born Vanessa Neumann has been an anti-Maduro evangelist whistling in the dark, until now. She runs Washington DC based political risk firm Asymmetrica. She has tried to be the voice of reason going against the likes of European politicians like Jeremy Corbyn who still believe the real problem in Venezuela is that it&s;s not &l;em&g;really&l;/em&g; socialist.

On the finance side, Siobhan Morden is arguably the one woman on Wall Street that has painstakingly followed and called Venezuela&s;s shrinking cash flow and its resulting default on bonds.

And on the media side is former Goldman Sachs emerging market bond analyst turned TV host, Trish Regan. Her new show &q;Primetime&q; on the FOX Business Network has given voice to all of the leading characters in Venezuela&s;s ongoing tragic novella -- from Maduro&s;s vice president Delcy Rodriguez to the man Washington and some 50 other countries call &l;em&g;el Presidente,&l;/em&g; National Assesmbly leader Juan Guaido. No one in the U.S. media has had more access to these sources than Regan.

&l;img class=&q;dam-image ap size-large wp-image-a266028992c1487d92b1a663fed7ba7c&q; src=&q;https://specials-images.forbesimg.com/dam/imageserve/a266028992c1487d92b1a663fed7ba7c/960x0.jpg?fit=scale&q; data-height=&q;764&q; data-width=&q;960&q;&g; Venezuela&s;s self-proclaimed interim president Juan Guaido. He&s;s trying to bring in humanitarian aid to Venezuela this weekend, much to Nicolas Maduro&s;s dismay.&a;nbsp; (AP Photo/Fernando Llano) photo credit: ASSOCIATED PRESS

All three have been watching, and warning, about the pending implosion of Socialists United since Maduro was given the reins from his predecessor and Party founder, Hugo Chavez, days before dying of cancer in Havana in 2013.

Call this dramatic Venezuela soap opera: &q;Ch&a;aacute;vez Muere de Nuevo&q;. Because if these three are right, and Maduro&s;s government falls, Chavez will indeed die twice as his worst nightmare comes true: the Yankees are coming. They&s;re bringing with it the International Monetary Fund and the World Bank to save his country from the near total destruction PSUV has caused.

&q;Just a few days ago I was talking to Delcy Rodriguez, and she told me they are not going anywhere,&q; Trish Regan told me during a break from a Presidents Day ski trip in Vermont with her family. &q;I don&s;t think Maduro has been a success for Venezuela. He&s;s turned it into a miserable place,&q; she says.

When Regan left Goldman to get into finance journalism, she covered Chavez for CBS News. Rodriguez was on Primetime in December. &q;She told me with a completely straight face that Venezuela was a model for the world; a model for social justice.&q;

The world will see what that model of social justice looks like this weekend.

If humanitarian aid is blocked, Maduro angers the populous in need of it. If it is let in after, perhaps, a skirmish here and there, Maduro looks like he gave in to Guaido. It&s;s a lose-lose.

&l;strong&g;Vanessa&s;s View: Not Washington&s;s Crony&l;/strong&g;

Neumann spent her childhood years in Caracas. Unlike the other tropical states in the South, Venezuela was rich in oil and gold. It was relatively peaceful compared to its neighbors. Colombia had guerilla fighters clawing at its government. Bolivia was poor. Brazil was just as poor.

&l;a href=&q;https://blogs-images.forbes.com/kenrapoza/files/2019/02/Vanessa-New-1.jpg&q; target=&q;_blank&q;&g;&l;img class=&q;size-full wp-image-57842&q; src=&q;http://blogs-images.forbes.com/kenrapoza/files/2019/02/Vanessa-New-1.jpg?width=960&q; alt=&q;&q; data-height=&q;650&q; data-width=&q;650&q;&g;&l;/a&g; Vanessa Neumann founded political risk firm Asymmetrica. She has been warning about a Venezuela migrant crisis for nearly two years. It&s;s here. And it is way worse than the one taking caravans to

&q;We had a sense that were lucky and blessed. The notion that this has all fallen apart is bizarre to,&q; she told me in a phone interview during a recent trip to Spain.

Madrid is crawling with Venezuelans. They are the lucky ones who have two passports and went into a kind of self-exile. It&s;s unclear if they will return.

The United Nations estimates that nearly four million Venezuelans have fled the country, or nearly 10% of the population. The migrant crisis there is worse than the migrant caravans leaving Central America to test Trump&s;s patience at the border.

Neumann&s;s family has all left Caracas. &q;My brother left three years ago. He got sick of bringing his daughter to school walking through tear gains from time to time,&q; she says. &q;I have friends there. They are not from the upper class like me. I can tell you that all them living through this destruction of Venezuela have no patience with socialism. It&s;s a collective trauma.&a;nbsp; Those who survive there are living on dollars. The horrors of Chavismo have become a unifying force in Venezuela,&q; she says.

Neumann has been warning about a worsening migrant crisis for the past two years. Migrant totals have nearly doubled since.

Here&s;s what she thinks happens in the not-so-distant future. PSUV breaks down and becomes a smaller party. Those who are not part of the more criminal faction of PSUV go through a peace and reconcilliation with the opposition parties and regroup. They remain a small, Marxist political party.

The IMF is coming. Hands outs are going away. There is a generation of Venezuelans who became used to that; it was a way Chavismo exerted their political control over the working class.

Cuba is going to dig in to protect Maduro in the weeks ahead, not the Russians and surely not the Chinese.

&q;He is a Cuban puppet, educated and raised in part in Cuba,&q; she says, adding that by Venezuelan law, Maduro should not have taken over after Chavez&s;s death before finishing his term. The National Assembly leader at the time was next in line, not him.

&q;Chavez annointed him from Havana, with Cuban recommendations is my guess,&q; she says. &q;They are a parasitic state. They milked the USSR. They sponsored the FARC in Colombia. They milked Venezuela. Watch out, Mexico, because I think you&s;re next,&q; she warns.

She&s;s heard she&s;s just a tool of the Washington foreign policy establishment. That&s;s what the European left has called her and people like her in Venezuela.

&q;This is a Venezuela revolution, not a White House invention,&q; she says. &q;It&s;s a dishonor to those who have been tortured and killed by this government. To say I am a proxy...is an embarrassment.&q;

&l;strong&g;Trish Regan: Fox&s;s Venezuela Whisperer&l;/strong&g;

Maybe it&s;s not rocket science, but in early December, just 10 weeks into her new show, Regan was the first cable news show to say Maduro was a goner. They&s;ve had a Venezuelan on almost every night since.

Former National Assemblywoman &l;a href=&q;https://video.foxbusiness.com/v/5997161676001#sp=show-clips&q; target=&q;_blank&q;&g;Maria Corina Machado announced on Primetime&l;/a&g; that in the case of new elections, she will run for the presidency for a second time.

&l;a href=&q;https://blogs-images.forbes.com/kenrapoza/files/2019/02/Trish-Regan.jpg&q; target=&q;_blank&q;&g;&l;img class=&q;size-full wp-image-57840&q; src=&q;http://blogs-images.forbes.com/kenrapoza/files/2019/02/Trish-Regan.jpg?width=960&q; alt=&q;&q; data-height=&q;1024&q; data-width=&q;682&q;&g;&l;/a&g; Trish Regan worked at Goldman Sachs for a short period of time as an emerging market bond analyst. That&s;s when she started following Venezuela. And continued to do so in her career as a journalist. Her show Primetime has interviewed all the key players in the Venezuela saga. No other show has shed light on the crisis like Regan&s;s Primetime on Fox.

Regan&s;s work on Venezuela comes from her background in financial markets. She&s;s the perfect example of if you want to know how the world works, understand the market and follow the money.

&q;This story has been with me since 1999,&q; she says. &q;I remember in the early 2000s Chavez began incrementally tearing up the constitution, moving towards nationalization and grabbing as much power as he could for his constituents in the military. I watched it from a desk at Goldman,&q; she says.

Later, she became a reporter. She followed Chavez around town. He promised her interviews, she says, but they never happened. &q;I learned a lot from Chavez. He was a good orator and would go on and on. He mastered his colonial history and the blame game. He was going to change it all, for the better.&q;

With a $100 barrel of oil, he could.

Oil fell to as low as $30 in the winter of 2016. But that&s;s not why Venezuela&s;s economy is now in year three of its Great Depression. It is because of PSUV.

&q;How a country goes from being triple A credit by Moody&s;s in 1976 and one of the highest standards of living in Latin America to where it is now is a warning for us in the States, especially to those who are fascinated with socialism,&q; she says.

Venezuela&s;s government distributed income through oil wealth, though their leaders kept much of it for themselves. The distribution was not invested in infrastructure. Instead it was invested mainly in some public education programs, but also subsidies and freebies that later became threatened if those on the receiving end turned on PSUV.

Cuba-inspired &q;coletivas&q; became little PSUV spies, ready to oust anyone critical of the government.

Trish has had Guaido on the show twice. She interviews him in Spanish. Maduro invited her to interview him in Caracas. She interviews vice president Mike Pence again on Monday from Colombia. He&s;ll have a lot to say about this weekend&s;s humanitarian aid deliveries.

Delcy, as a Maduro stand-in, was surreal.

&q;I thought I was hearing things from her,&q; &l;a href=&q;https://video.foxbusiness.com/v/5984380780001/#sp=show-clips&q; target=&q;_blank&q;&g;she says about her interview.&l;/a&g; &q;When I said, &s;but, look, the country has a poverty rate of way more than 50% and hyperinflation&s;, she said it was fake news.&q;

&l;strong&g;See: &l;a href=&q;https://video.foxbusiness.com/v/6004286096001/#sp=show-clips&q; target=&q;_blank&q;&g;Venezuelan Leader Juan &l;/a&g;&l;a href=&q;https://video.foxbusiness.com/v/6004286096001/#sp=show-clips&q; target=&q;_blank&q;&g;Guaido&l;/a&g; &l;a href=&q;https://video.foxbusiness.com/v/6004286096001/#sp=show-clips&q; target=&q;_blank&q;&g;&l;strong&g;S&l;/strong&g;ays Trump&s;s Support Has Been &s;Instrumental&s;&l;/a&g; -- Fox Business Network&s;s &q;Primetime&q;&l;/strong&g;

&l;img class=&q;dam-image ap size-large wp-image-3c3bd4f186d848c9b547887095330572&q; src=&q;https://specials-images.forbesimg.com/dam/imageserve/3c3bd4f186d848c9b547887095330572/960x0.jpg?fit=scale&q; data-height=&q;640&q; data-width=&q;960&q;&g; President Donald Trump speaks to a Venezuelan American community at Florida Ocean Bank Convocation Center in Miami on Feb. 18. The Trump administration is accusing Maduro of starving Venezuelans by blocking several tons of American-supplied humanitarian aid stored next door in Colombia. Trump also says it is Cuba propping up the Maduro administration, not the Russians or the Chinese. (AP Photo/Andrew Harnik) photo credit: ASSOCIATED PRESS

&l;strong&g;Siobhan Morden: &q;Don&s;t Say I Didn&s;t Warn You&q;&l;/strong&g;

Nomura is a sell-side bank. They manage billions in emerging market debt for clients. PdVSA bonds were trading at 85% discounts to par value, so figure around 15 cents. If you thought Maduro was a goner, you bought Venezuela and the quasi-sovereign: PdVSA bonds.

Recovery value was the only missing equation, and for sure it would be higher than 15 cents. Distressed asset hedge funds bought in. Guaido pronounces himself interim president in Venezuela&s;s &l;em&g;#notmypresident&l;/em&g; moment in early January. Bond prices more than doubled. Then, sanctions hit the secondary market, and everyone holding those bonds can no longer sell them. At least to another American. They can sell them to a non-U.S. citizen or entity, but for sure at a steep discount wiping out any gains of the late entry, distressed asset buyers.

Venezuela has $60 billion worth of outstanding bonds. All but the PdVSA 2020 bond are in default.

Morden has been covering Venezuela for 26 years. She&s;s not allowed in Venezuela, she says, adding, &q;I&s;m not a friend of the revolution.&q;

&l;a href=&q;https://blogs-images.forbes.com/kenrapoza/files/2019/02/siobhan.png&q; target=&q;_blank&q;&g;&l;img class=&q;size-full wp-image-57843&q; src=&q;http://blogs-images.forbes.com/kenrapoza/files/2019/02/siobhan.jpg?width=960&q; alt=&q;&q; data-height=&q;741&q; data-width=&q;947&q;&g;&l;/a&g; Siobhan Morden of Nomura Securiies. She based her analysis of PSUV&s;s implosion on shrinking cashflow.

There are only a few Venezuela watchers on Wall Street, but Morden has differentiated herself by focusing on cash flow constraints. Her thinking was that if Maduro had no money coming in, then PSUV would have a much harder time paying for allegiances in the military, bribing officials like judges, and handing out free chickens to the Chavez shanty towns.

Oil production is in decline.&a;nbsp; Eventually, Maduro was going to run out of money and companies will litigate to get paid, attaching offshore assets to their case. Petrodollars will dry up, she had said on a weekly basis for almost three years now.

When Washington slapped sanctions on oil, that forecast became a reality. PdVSA can no longer import cash receipts from crude sales to the U.S. Cash has to be kept in blocked PdVSA accounts. After April 28, they cannot sell oil to the U.S., so not only is there no money coming in, but there is no money being generated either.

&q;Last year, when doing a 2019 projection for Venezuela, I saw where cashflow would reach an inflection point. If you can&s;t immunize your supporters with subsidies and direct payouts, then it becomes very precarious for Maduro,&q; she says.

This is now where we are at in the tragedy that is PSUV&s;s Venezuela.

Inflation averages 4% per day. National Assembly data has GDP contracting 40% annualized in the third quarter of 2018.

There is a pain threshold now and it has been crossed. Everyone is suffering except the top tier and that is what makes all of this unsustainable.

&q;You can innoculate a few top level military commanders, but not the rank and file and not the PdVSVA workers,&q; she says. &q;Repression and targeted rental and corruption income is a not a viable strategy for Maduro to remain in office.&q;

&l;img class=&q;dam-image ap size-large wp-image-c573251b42d04f3694a6122cc4cc98ce&q; src=&q;https://specials-images.forbesimg.com/dam/imageserve/c573251b42d04f3694a6122cc4cc98ce/960x0.jpg?fit=scale&q; data-height=&q;632&q; data-width=&q;960&q;&g; Supporters of President Nicolas Maduro hold up an anti-American banner during a rally in Caracas, Venezuela, Saturday, Feb. 2, 2019. Maduro called the rally to celebrate the 20th anniversary of the late President Hugo Chavez&s;s rise to power, a rise that has upended Venezuela. (AP Photo/Ariana Cubillos) photo credit: ASSOCIATED PRESS

And so at that, Morden, who I personally think is the best Venezuela analyst on Wall Street, says Maduro&s;s time is up.

&q;He&a;rsquo;s gone. PSUV is gone. I think Chavismo becomes a legitimate opposition party and perhaps they have some core support among the poor and maybe an academic left,&q; she says, &q;but they are a minority fringe party going forward.&q;

Chavez Dies Twice goes into its sixth season now, six years after his death in Cuba.

The only way Venezuela recovers is through foreign support. Guiado has already said so and is embracing it.

Venezuela&s;s case at the IMF will be as big as Argentina&s;s. Argentina got 1,000% over its quota. If Venezuela got the same, it would end up with a $52 billion aid package, the second largest IMF loan after the one in Argentina, Morden says.

Saturday&s;s arrival (or not) of humanitarian aid is just the beginning of the rebuilding process, a process in which PSUV is welcome to be part of it should it wish to do so. In the meantime, &q;It&a;rsquo;s scorched earth down there,&q; says Morden. &q;It&s;s total destruction.&q;

&a;nbsp;&l;/p&g;

Thursday, February 21, 2019

Mortgage Loan Rates, New Applications Turn Higher

The Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) released its weekly report on mortgage applications Wednesday morning, noting an increase of 3.6% in the group’s seasonally adjusted composite index for the week ending February 15. Mortgage interest rates dropped on four of five types of loans the MBA tracks. MBA data for the prior week were revised.

On an unadjusted basis, the MBA’s composite index rose by 3.6% in the past week. The seasonally adjusted purchase index increased by 2% compared with the week ended February 8. The unadjusted purchase index rose by 7% for the week and was 3% higher year over year.

Mortgage loan rates for a top-tier 30-year fixed-rate loan inched up from 4.44% to 4.49% last week, according to Mortgage News Daily. As of Tuesday night, top-tier borrowers were paying 4.47% for that loan. The yield on a 10-year U.S. Treasury note dipped in the last week from 2.69% to 2.64% as of last night’s close. A year ago the 10-year note yielded 2.87%.

Joel Kan, MBA's Associate Vice President of Economic and Industry Forecasting, commented:

Mortgage rates held steady on mixed economic news, as core inflation remained firm, while retail sales in December were much weaker than expected. However, overall application activity picked up over the week. After four consecutive declines, purchase applications increased almost 2 percent over the week and 2.5 percent compared to a year ago – showing some promise as we edge closer to the spring homebuying season.

The MBA’s refinance index increased by 6% week over week, and the percentage of all new applications that were seeking refinancing dropped from 41.8% to 41.7%.

Adjustable rate mortgage loans accounted for 7.7% of all applications, unchanged compared with the prior week.

According to the MBA, last week’s average mortgage loan rate for a conforming 30-year fixed-rate mortgage ticked up from 4.65% to 4.66%. The rate for a jumbo 30-year fixed-rate mortgage increased from 4.48% to 4.56%. The average interest rate for a 15-year fixed-rate mortgage was unchanged at 4.04%.

The contract interest rate for a 5/1 adjustable rate mortgage loan rose from 3.97% to 4.00%. Rates on a 30-year FHA-backed fixed-rate loan increased from 4.61% to 4.68%.

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Wednesday, February 20, 2019

CrowdCoin (CRC) Hits Market Capitalization of $36,431.00

CrowdCoin (CURRENCY:CRC) traded flat against the US dollar during the twenty-four hour period ending at 22:00 PM ET on February 18th. Over the last week, CrowdCoin has traded flat against the US dollar. One CrowdCoin coin can currently be purchased for $0.0077 or 0.00000138 BTC on popular cryptocurrency exchanges including Stocks.Exchange and Cryptopia. CrowdCoin has a total market cap of $36,431.00 and approximately $0.00 worth of CrowdCoin was traded on exchanges in the last day.

Here is how other cryptocurrencies have performed over the last day:

Get CrowdCoin alerts: Feathercoin (FTC) traded 8.4% higher against the dollar and now trades at $0.0131 or 0.00000334 BTC. GoByte (GBX) traded up 7.7% against the dollar and now trades at $0.18 or 0.00004505 BTC. Uniform Fiscal Object (UFO) traded 5.4% higher against the dollar and now trades at $0.0002 or 0.00000004 BTC. CryCash (CRC) traded 15.4% lower against the dollar and now trades at $0.0715 or 0.00001822 BTC. Guncoin (GUN) traded flat against the dollar and now trades at $0.0009 or 0.00000013 BTC. Innova (INN) traded 4.8% higher against the dollar and now trades at $0.0156 or 0.00000396 BTC. Dinerocoin (DIN) traded flat against the dollar and now trades at $0.0091 or 0.00000144 BTC. IPChain (IPC) traded down 0.5% against the dollar and now trades at $0.0835 or 0.00002128 BTC.

About CrowdCoin

CRC is a proof-of-work (PoW) coin that uses the NeoScrypt hashing algorithm. Its launch date was May 5th, 2013. CrowdCoin’s total supply is 5,095,340 coins and its circulating supply is 4,745,340 coins. CrowdCoin’s official Twitter account is @CrowdCoin_CRC and its Facebook page is accessible here. The official website for CrowdCoin is crowdcoin.site. The Reddit community for CrowdCoin is /r/CrowdCoinChain and the currency’s Github account can be viewed here.

Buying and Selling CrowdCoin

CrowdCoin can be purchased on the following cryptocurrency exchanges: Stocks.Exchange and Cryptopia. It is usually not possible to purchase alternative cryptocurrencies such as CrowdCoin directly using U.S. dollars. Investors seeking to acquire CrowdCoin should first purchase Bitcoin or Ethereum using an exchange that deals in U.S. dollars such as Coinbase, Changelly or GDAX. Investors can then use their newly-acquired Bitcoin or Ethereum to purchase CrowdCoin using one of the exchanges listed above.

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Tuesday, February 19, 2019

Oracle of Omaha Abandons Oracle’s Stock After Just 1 Quarter

Warren Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway (NYSE:BRK-A) (NYSE:BRK-B) invested about $2.1 billion in Oracle (NYSE:ORCL) in late 2018. That was a bullish vote of confidence for the enterprise software company, since Buffett had only invested in a handful of tech stocks after shunning them for most of his career.

However, a recent SEC filing revealed that Berkshire sold its entire position in Oracle after a single quarter. That was a surprising move for Buffett, a champion of long-term investing who famously claimed that his favorite holding period was "forever". So why did the Oracle of Omaha abruptly dump Oracle?

A stock chart.

Image source: Getty Images.

Understanding Oracle's business

Oracle, like many other mature enterprise software companies, is struggling to grow its sales in a saturated market. Analysts expect its revenue to fall 1% this fiscal year (which ends on May 31), compared to 6% growth last year.

Oracle is pivoting away from its slow-growth, on-premises businesses, like database hardware and software, toward higher-growth cloud services. Oracle previously disclosed its cloud-based SaaS (software as a service), IaaS (infrastructure as a service), and PaaS (platform as a service) revenues separately, and investors often measured Oracle's turnaround by the strength of those businesses.

However, the growth of that cloud revenue decelerated significantly throughout fiscal 2018. In the fourth quarter of 2018, Oracle stopped reporting the growth of its SaaS, IaaS, and PaaS revenues separately.

Instead, it combined those units with its legacy businesses into two new (and arguably opaque) reporting segments: "Cloud Services & License Support" revenue and "Cloud License & On-Premise License" revenue. However, the performance of those two new segments over the past three quarters indicated that Oracle's cloud growth was still decelerating:

Metric

Q4 2018

Q1 2019

Q2 2019

Cloud Services and License Support

$6.8 billion

$6.6 billion

$6.6 billion

YOY growth

8%

3%

3%

Cloud License and On-Premise License

$2.5 billion

$867 million

$1.2 billion

YOY growth

(5%)

(3%)

(9%)

Source: Oracle quarterly reports, on a reported (not constant currency) basis.

Oracle reported flat year-over-year revenue growth last quarter. This indicates that Oracle is struggling to compete against bigger fish in the cloud services market like Amazon (NASDAQ:AMZN) Web Services (AWS) and Microsoft's (NASDAQ:MSFT) Azure.

Amazon's AWS revenue rose 45% to $7.4 billion last quarter, and it retained its title as the largest IaaS/PaaS platform in the world. Microsoft's commercial cloud revenue -- which includes Azure, Office 365, Dynamics, and other SaaS products -- climbed 48% to $9 billion last quarter. Within that total, its Azure revenue surged 76%.

Enterprise customers are clearly flocking to either AWS or Azure, which leaves very little room for cloud underdogs like Oracle and IBM (NYSE:IBM). Berkshire also sold its entire stake in IBM last year amid concerns about its cloud competitors.

A network of cloud computing connections.

Image source: Getty Images.

An addiction to buybacks

I believe Oracle is on the verge of making the same mistakes as IBM. Buffett was initially drawn to IBM in 2011 after Big Blue pledged to double its EPS within five years -- but to reach that goal (which it ultimately failed to do), IBM dramatically cut costs, sold business units, failed to invest in new technologies, and aggressively repurchased its stock. As a result, IBM's revenue growth flatlined and it fell behind Amazon and Microsoft in the cloud market.

Last quarter, Oracle spent $10 billion on buybacks. That's why its non-GAAP EPS surged 16% as its net income only rose 3%. In other words, Oracle "bought" an earnings beat, and analysts expect those buybacks to boost its non-GAAP EPS by 9% this year. Oracle recently authorized another $12 billion in buybacks.

Buying back stock is only a smart move if a company can't find meaningful ways to reinvest its cash into its business. It would be wiser for Oracle, which is sitting on $49 billion cash and marketable securities, to acquire more cloud service companies to boost its sales growth and aggressively challenge Amazon and Microsoft.

Oracle bought seven companies in 2018, but the largest acquisition, Grapeshot, only cost about $400 million. Oracle's operating expenses also rose less than 1% annually last quarter, which suggests a lack of urgency regarding the growth of its cloud businesses.

Berkshire doesn't want to own another IBM

Oracle's stock looks cheap at 14 times forward earnings, but Berkshire Hathaway probably doesn't want to own another stagnant tech stock like IBM. Oracle is arguably in better shape today than IBM in 2011, but Berkshire likely noticed too many similarities to stick with what is likely to be a long-term loser.

Sunday, February 17, 2019

Is Danaher Stock Still a Good Investment?

Danaher (NYSE:DHR) has a reputation as a go-to industrial stock in times of trouble. In other words, it's the sort of stock that you want to hold in a slowdown. Indeed, its combination of medical-focused businesses and industrial businesses with secular growth prospects (such as water quality and environmental solutions) means it has a defensive quality lacking in many other industrial stocks. That's well known, but is the stock a good value? Let's take a look.

Defensive end markets

Danaher stock isn't cheap, but no one said you can buy high-quality companies at bargain prices. The investment thesis behind the stock is based on the defensive nature of its end markets, which means the stock should command a premium to reflect its ability to generate growth in any business cycle.

A man considering buying or selling a stock.

Image source: Getty Images.

As you can see below, the company currently generates the overwhelming majority of its earnings from relatively defensive sources such as life sciences, diagnostics, dental, and environmental solutions.

Danaher's operating profit in 2018

Data source: Danaher Corporation presentations. 

The defensive nature of these businesses was further confirmed during the recent fourth-quarter earnings call. Whereas other companies are seeing slowing growth in China, Danaher's CEO Tom Joyce said: " We are not seeing anything specific that we could point to today that is impacting our businesses in China." In fact, Danaher's double-digit revenue growth in China was "the eighth consecutive quarter -- or, better said, the second straight year of double-digit growth for us in China," according to Joyce. He went on to outline that Danaher's exposure to industrial end markets is "probably less than 10% of Danaher wide today."

And finally, Danaher's segment performance in the last recession shows how well its life sciences and diagnostics segments held up under very difficult circumstances. 

The near- and mid-term outlook

A quick look at Danaher's core revenue growth trends by segment shows ongoing growth at the three most important segments -- the underperforming dental segment is set to be spun off in 2019 -- and the return to organic growth in the fourth quarter is very welcome. 

Danaher revenue growth by segment

Data source: Danaher Corporation presentations. 

Management's long-term financial outlook, given during the investor-day presentation in December, calls for core revenue growth in mid-single digits and core operating margin to increase by 50 to 75 basis points a year. For reference, 100 basis points equate to 1 percentage point.

Based on analyst estimates for 2019 and 2020 and management's outlook, my calculations imply operating-profit growth of 7% to 9.5% per year for the next decade. In addition, the company's excellent free cash flow (FCF) generation means that its FCF valuation is actually lower than a cyclical industrial like 3M (NYSE:MMM).

3M isn't a defensive stock and, in contrast to Danaher, it's medium-term guidance looks a bit optimistic, not least because the company has started its 2019 by lowering its full-year organic growth and earnings guidance. By way of comparison, Danaher maintained its full-year guidance for 4% organic revenue growth and adjusted diluted EPS of $4.75 to $4.85.

DHR Price to Free Cash Flow (TTM) Chart

DHR Price to Free Cash Flow (TTM) data by YCharts.

The case against Danaher stock

The strongest bearish argument regarding the stock relates to its valuation. For example, going back to the issue of FCF, it's fair to say that last year was a standout year for FCF conversion from net income. For argument's sake, let's assume that Danaher converted 100% of net income, then its market cap to FCF multiple would be closer to 30 -- that's the kind of valuation you might pay for a growth stock. 

DHR Free Cash Flow (TTM) Chart

DHR Free Cash Flow (TTM) data by YCharts.

Given that the medium-term outlook for Danaher's operating-profit growth is only high single digits, it means that any slip-up in execution or a faulty acquisition, and Danaher's stock price and valuation multiple could come under threat.

What to do with Danaher stock

Both the bullish and bearish cases discussed here have merit, but on balance, the stock is still worth buying for investors concerned by growth prospects in the economy and/or investors looking to balance their portfolios by buying a more defensive stock than they currently hold. However, the stock's appreciation means that the upside from here isn't significant. 

One thing is for sure: Danaher is definitely the kind of stock that investors should be monitoring with a view to buy given any major broad market sell-off.

Saturday, February 16, 2019

Phantasma (SOUL) Price Tops $0.0267

Phantasma (CURRENCY:SOUL) traded down 1.2% against the US dollar during the one day period ending at 17:00 PM ET on February 16th. One Phantasma token can now be bought for $0.0267 or 0.00000736 BTC on major exchanges including Hotbit, Bitbns, Kucoin and Bilaxy. During the last seven days, Phantasma has traded 1.1% lower against the US dollar. Phantasma has a market cap of $1.56 million and $191,077.00 worth of Phantasma was traded on exchanges in the last day.

Here is how other cryptocurrencies have performed during the last day:

Get Phantasma alerts: Nectar (NEC) traded up 13.6% against the dollar and now trades at $0.15 or 0.00004169 BTC. TokenPay (TPAY) traded 0% higher against the dollar and now trades at $0.72 or 0.00019872 BTC. SaluS (SLS) traded 3.1% higher against the dollar and now trades at $9.52 or 0.00261552 BTC. ParkinGo (GOT) traded down 0.5% against the dollar and now trades at $0.62 or 0.00017155 BTC. HempCoin (THC) traded 1.8% lower against the dollar and now trades at $0.0125 or 0.00000342 BTC. LuckChain (BASH) traded flat against the dollar and now trades at $0.0041 or 0.00000061 BTC. Consensus (SEN) traded 1.8% higher against the dollar and now trades at $0.0016 or 0.00000044 BTC. VeriCoin (VRC) traded 4.7% lower against the dollar and now trades at $0.0738 or 0.00002029 BTC. ECC (ECC) traded down 9.6% against the dollar and now trades at $0.0001 or 0.00000002 BTC. ChatCoin (CHAT) traded 2.4% higher against the dollar and now trades at $0.0026 or 0.00000072 BTC.

Phantasma Profile

Phantasma (CRYPTO:SOUL) is a PoW/PoS token that uses the Scrypt hashing algorithm. Its genesis date was March 10th, 2015. Phantasma’s total supply is 91,136,374 tokens and its circulating supply is 58,332,939 tokens. Phantasma’s official website is phantasma.io. Phantasma’s official Twitter account is @phantasma_io. Phantasma’s official message board is steemit.com/@phantasma-io.

Buying and Selling Phantasma

Phantasma can be bought or sold on these cryptocurrency exchanges: Bilaxy, Gate.io, Hotbit, Kucoin, Switcheo Network and Bitbns. It is usually not possible to buy alternative cryptocurrencies such as Phantasma directly using U.S. dollars. Investors seeking to trade Phantasma should first buy Ethereum or Bitcoin using an exchange that deals in U.S. dollars such as Gemini, GDAX or Changelly. Investors can then use their newly-acquired Ethereum or Bitcoin to buy Phantasma using one of the aforementioned exchanges.

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Materion Corp (MTRN) Q4 2018 Earnings Conference Call Transcript

Logo of jester cap with thought bubble.

Image source: The Motley Fool.

Materion Corp  (NYSE:MTRN)Q4 2018 Earnings Conference CallFeb. 14, 2019, 9:00 a.m. ET

Contents: Prepared Remarks Questions and Answers Call Participants Prepared Remarks:

Operator

Greetings, and welcome to the Materion Corporation Year-End 2018 Earnings Conference Call. At this time, all participants are in a listen-only mode. A brief question-and-answer session will follow the formal presentation. (Operator Instructions) As a reminder, this conference is being recorded.

It is now my pleasure to introduce your host, Steve Shamrock , Vice President, Corporate Controller, Investor Relations. Thank you, sir. You may begin.

Stephen F. Shamrock -- Vice President, Corporate Controller and Investor Relations

Good morning. This is Steve Shamrock, Vice President, Corporate Controller and Investor Relations. With me today is Jugal Vijayvargiya, President and Chief Executive Officer; and Joe Kelley, Vice President and Chief Financial Officer.

Our format for today's conference call is as follows. Jugal Vijayvargiya will provide opening comments on the company's 2018 performance and the strategic direction and outlook as we move forward into 2019. Following Jugal, Joe Kelley will review detailed financial results for the quarter and full year highlights, and then we will open up the call for questions.

Before we begin, let me remind investors that any forward-looking statements made in this announcement, including those in the outlook section and during the question-and-answer portion, are based on current expectations. The company's actual future performance may materially differ from that contemplated by the forward-looking statements as a result of a variety of factors. Those factors are listed in the earnings press release we issued this morning.

Additionally, comments with regard to operating profit, net income and earnings per share reflect the adjusted GAAP numbers shown in Attachment number five in this morning's press release. The adjustments are made in both the current year and prior year periods for comparative purposes and remove special non-recurring items, non-cash pension settlement charges and certain income tax adjustments.

And now, I'll turn it over to Jugal for his comments.

Jugal K. Vijayvargiya -- President and Chief Executive Officer

Thanks, Steve, and welcome, everyone.

On today's call, I'm very pleased to report record results for the fourth quarter and for the full year. Earnings for the quarter improved by 27%, a fourth quarter record of $0.65 per share while value-added sales grew to $186 million, also a fourth quarter record.

This represent the eighth consecutive quarter of both top and bottom line growth. Our PAC business delivered all-time quarterly records for value-added sales, operating profit and operating profit margin. For the full year, we delivered record earnings of $2.38 per share, a 38% improvement from the prior year and the second consecutive year of greater than 30% earnings growth.

All three businesses reported double-digit operating profit margins for the first time ever, including record operating profit margins for our PAC and PC businesses. Value-added sales reached an all-time high of $739 million, representing 9% growth from prior year. Joe will cover additional detail on the financials.

Let me shift gears and provide a progress update on our multi-pillar strategy, reviewed with you on previous calls. As a reminder, we established pillars around commercial excellence, operational excellence, innovation, inorganic growth and digital transformation, all supported by a laser-like focus on performance-based culture.

Our global teams have made substantial progress establishing these pillars and evidenced by the results I just reviewed. In commercial excellence, our focus on value-based pricing, improved sales mix, addressing underperforming businesses and creating a global sales force has led to record value-added sales and operating profit. We're in the midst of creating a world-class sales force, essential to achieving our aspirations of consistently delivering profitable growth.

In operational excellence, safety has been our overriding priority, leading to the best safety rates in history, with 19 sites achieving zero incidents. With our focus on improving working capital, we've reduced inventory levels by 2.5%, while supporting 9% sales growth. This enabled us to achieve the most efficient level of working capital in five-plus years and contributed significantly to our strong cash flow.

Yield and efficiency improvements across the majority of our sites contributed to the improved profit margins. And we made a significant step in lowering our cost structure by reducing a third of the workforce at our German facility.

As part of the innovation pillar, we established global technology and innovation groups within each of our business units. This is allowing us to eliminate redundancies and accelerate efforts in developing and commercializing new products. We increased R&D spending by 9%, and we'll continue to make strategic investments to fund the new product pipeline and drive organic growth.

Within the inorganic growth pillar, we've been active in evaluating acquisition opportunities. But as we've stated before, we will not do M&A just for the sake of doing M&A. While we did not find an acquisition that fit our strategic and financial intent, we will continue to focus on M&A in 2019. Our strong cash flow generation and available liquidity give us the flexibility to act, as we continue evaluating potential targets.

As part of the digital pillar, we're leveraging digital systems and tools to improve business processes and associated competitiveness. We've started to implement sharpener (ph) tools to better understand equipment downtime and improve operational efficiency.

We'll continue to convert sites to our common ERP platform and standardize master data to fully embrace and leverage digital tools. This will continue to be a major pillar going forward, as we see opportunities to further improve our cost structure and customer support. With these pillars, we've been driving a performance-based culture throughout the company.

Our consistent quarterly results for the last two years serve as proof of the cultural transformation taking place. In addition to the pillar framework, we launched One Materion, the idea that creating unified-focused core competencies to serve the entire company is much more effective than uneven, inconsistent efforts across individual business units.

This is intended to drive further improvements in both top and bottom line performance. One Materion applies to functions, regions and businesses. Each senior leader has been busy developing One Materion and in many cases, implementation has commenced. We created regional organizations to leverage the power of One Materion. I fully anticipate that as we move forward, One Materion will pay substantial dividends.

As we enter 2019, our objective remains the same, create a high-performing Advanced Materials company delivering superior returns. We're doubling down on each pillar and fully leveraging the power of One Materion. We all read about the uncertainty surrounding us.

However, we are committed to moving the company forward in all aspects and delivering significant earnings growth for the third consecutive year. We expect earnings to be in the $2.62 to $2.74 range, a 10% to 15% improvement from the prior year. I look forward to providing updates on our progress in future calls.

Now, I'll turn the call over to Joe to cover financial details.

Joseph P. Kelley -- Vice President, Finance and Chief Financial Officer

Thank you, Jugal. And welcome to everyone joining us on the call today. During my comments, I will cover fourth quarter and full-year 2018 financial highlights, review profitability by segment, provide brief comments on the balance sheet, cash flow and modeling assumptions and finally, cover the earnings outlook for 2019. Following my remarks, we will open the line for questions.

Fourth quarter 2018 was a very strong quarter for Materion, and marks the eight consecutive quarter with year-over-year growth in value-added sales and adjusted operating profit. Our consistent delivery of profitable growth is driven by the multi-pillar strategy Jugal referenced. And it is this continued execution of this strategy, which provides momentum as we head into 2019.

Fourth quarter 2018 value-added sales, which exclude the impact of pass-through precious metal costs were $185.8 million, up 3% versus the prior year fourth quarter. We set a fourth quarter value-added sales record, despite the drop-off in demand in our largest end market of consumer electronics.

The record fourth quarter value-added sales exemplifies our market diversification, differentiated product portfolio and success in commercial execution. New product sales in the fourth quarter of 2018 were $27.3 million, or 15% of value-added sales.

We delivered year-over-year value-added sales growth in six of our top seven end markets, with particularly strong performance in energy, medical and telecommunications infrastructure. The growth in these markets was due to a combination of new business wins and stronger overall demand.

Consistent with previous quarters, the decrease in consumer electronics was due to lower sales in the display and wireless portion of this market, as customers continue to rebalance inventory levels in response to weaker consumer demand. Despite softness in consumer electronics, commercial execution initiatives related to product mix and market share gains, combined with favorable end-market demand in other end markets have now delivered 10 consecutive quarters of year-over-year value added sales growth.

Gross profit was $66.1 million in the fourth quarter. Excluding a copper LIFO inventory benefit of $1.9 million, adjusted gross profit was $64.2 million, an increase of 9% from the prior year. Gross profit margins expanded over 200 basis points to 35%, driven by commercial and operational performance improvements and leveraging the sales volume growth.

Selling, general and administrative expense totaled $37.7 million, flat compared to the prior year fourth quarter. As a percentage of value-added sales, SG&A was approximately 20% in both periods. The company incurred $5.6 million of restructuring expense related to severance pay to approximately 40 employees in our German operation.

I remind investors that we relocated our German Advanced Materials manufacturing operation in July of 2018 from the legacy Heraeus facility to a stand-alone Materion location. The headcount reduction completed in the fourth quarter represents a 30% reduction in the workforce, and will enable efficiencies and cost savings in excess of $3 million annually. These actions reflect efficiency levels now possible in the new facility.

Operating profit totaled $14.4 million in the fourth quarter of 2018. Excluding restructuring, severance and the copper LIFO inventory benefit, adjusted operating profit was $18.1 million, or 10% of value-added sales, an increase of 29% compared to adjusted operating profit of $14 million in the fourth quarter of 2017. Commercial and operational initiatives, combined with sales volume growth delivered double-digit operating margins for the second consecutive quarter.

Moving now to other non-operating expense. As previously announced, in October of 2018, we annuitized approximately 43% of our US domestic pension liability to reduce volatility and pension costs and funding requirements on a go-forward basis and to secure pension benefits for participants in payment status.

As a result, we recognized a non-cash, non-operating pension settlement charge of approximately $41 million in the fourth quarter. The combination of the annuitization of the retiree pension liability and pension funding actions taken in 2018 to maximize tax savings, has significantly strengthened the overall financial position of the company. The Materion US defined benefit pension obligation has been reduced from approximately $280 million to $140 million. And the funded status and the remaining liability has increased to 95% as of year-end 2018.

Looking at income taxes, we recorded a tax benefit of $6.3 million in the fourth quarter of 2018. Excluding the impact from the new US tax reform legislation and discrete items related to tax planning strategies, our effective tax rate in the quarter was 22%, slightly higher than our historical run rate based on the mix of earnings.

For the full year, income tax was a benefit of $4.5 million, which included an $11.1 million benefit from finalizing the impact of the new US tax reform. Excluding the impacts of the tax law change and special items, the full year 2018 effective tax rate was 20%, in line with our previous guidance.

Adjusted earnings totaled a fourth quarter record of $0.65 per share diluted, up 27% from the adjusted $0.51 per share recorded in the fourth quarter of 2017. Our differentiated product portfolio and focus on commercial and operational execution continues to produce record financial results.

Let me now briefly comment on full-year 2018 consolidated financial performance. Value-added sales totaled $739 million for the full-year 2018, up 9% compared to 2017, and a record for the second year in a row. Excluding the Heraeus acquisition, the base business grew 8% year-over-year due to commercial performance improvements and stronger demand, particularly in the energy, defense and industrial end-markets.

Full-year 2018 adjusted operating profit totaled $66 million, which represents a 39% increase compared to adjusted operating profit of $47.4 million in 2017. Expressed as a percentage of value-added sales, operating profit margins expanded 200 basis points over the prior year to 9%. Full-year 2018 adjusted earnings totaled $2.38 per share, up 38% versus 2017 adjusted earnings of $1.72 per share.

Now, let me review 2018 fourth quarter and full-year performance by business segment. Starting first with Performance Alloys and Composites. Value-added sales were $110.1 million, up 9% versus the fourth quarter of 2017 and a record for any quarter. The increase in value added sales is due to commercial performance improvements and improved end-market demand. Higher sales into the energy end-market was a major growth contributor year-over-year due to new business wins in drilling applications for both ToughMet and copper beryllium products.

Operating profit in the fourth quarter of 2018 totaled $19.9 million compared to $9.5 million in the prior year. Excluding a copper LIFO benefit, adjusted operating profit was $18 million, nearly double the prior year amount, and 16% of value-added sales. This represents the second consecutive quarter of operating profit margins greater than 15%, and reflects the commercial and operational improvements being made across the business, as well as the stronger end-market demand.

We have exceeded our commitment to return this business to historical profitability levels, and we remain excited and committed to delivering profit margins reflective of the highly differentiated value-creating portfolio of products contained within this segment.

Looking at Advanced Materials. Value-added sales in the fourth quarter 2018 were $52.8 million compared to fourth quarter 2017 value-added sales of $58.3 million. Value-added sales declined 9%, due primarily to softer demand in the display and wireless portion of the consumer electronics end-market and timing related to the ongoing customer requalification process associated with the relocation of our German manufacturing facility.

Operating profit, excluding the restructuring severance, totaled $4.9 million compared to $7.9 million in the prior year. The decrease in adjusted operating profit is due to lower sales volumes, unfavorable product mix and manufacturing inefficiencies associated with the ramp up of the new German facility. The headwinds of the German relocation are largely behind us. The workforce has been right-sized and the facility is producing high-quality products and passing all customer audits.

For the full-year 2018, Advanced Materials value-added sales decreased 2% and delivered a 10% operating profit margin. Challenging macroeconomic conditions in the consumer electronics end-market, which represents over 50% of total value-added sales for this segment was the main driver behind the segment's 2018 performance. We are committed to returning this business to historical operating profit margin levels in the 15% range.

Turning finally now to the Precision Coatings segment. Fourth quarter value-added sales were $24.2 million, up 6% compared to $22.9 million in the fourth quarter of 2017, due primarily to stronger optical filter sales in the defense end-market.

Operating profit for the Precision Coatings segment totaled $2.4 million in the fourth quarter of 2018, or 10% of value-added sales compared to $2.3 million in the fourth quarter of 2017. The year-over-year improvement was driven by higher sales volume and manufacturing efficiencies, which more than offset increased precious metal consignment cost.

For the full year of 2018, the Precision Coatings segment reported $94.2 million in value-added sales, a 4% increase compared to 2017. This segment recorded an operating profit margin of 12%, an all-time record due to strong performance of our optical filter products and manufacturing performance improvements. We remain committed to consistently delivering double-digit margins in this business.

Moving now to the balance sheet and cash flow. Cash flow from operations improved $9 million in 2018 compared to the prior year due to stronger earnings and improved working capital efficiencies. We improved our operating cash flow year-over-year despite an incremental $26 million of pension contributions to fund our domestic pension plan.

As a result, we further strengthened our already solid balance sheet and have significant available liquidity to support allocation priorities mentioned on previous calls, including organic growth opportunities, further inorganic growth opportunities and consistently return capital to shareholders.

For financial modeling purposes in 2019, capital spending should run approximately $30 million. Mine development investments should be $5 million to $10 million. Annual depreciation and amortization should run approximately $35 million, cash flow from operations greater than $90 million. The effective tax rate should be 18% to 20%.

And finally, now the earnings outlook for 2019. Based on the momentum we have exiting 2018, we expect profitable growth to continue in 2019. However, macro economic condition has remained uncertain and could impact the end markets we serve. At a more company specific level, we remain focused on executing our multi-pillar strategy and leveraging our commercial and operational performance improvements to drive profitable growth.

Based on these factors, we are guiding full-year 2019 earnings to range from $2.62 per share to $2.74 per share, a 10% to 15% improvement over 2018 results. From a quarterly guidance perspective, we expect the first quarter of 2019 earnings to be approximately 15% higher than first quarter 2018 earnings.

This concludes our prepared remarks. We will now open the line for questions.

Questions and Answers:

Operator

Thank you. We will now be conducting a question-and-answer session. (Operator Instructions) Thank you. Our first question comes from the line of Martin Englert with Jefferies. Please proceed with your question.

Martin Englert -- Jefferies -- Analyst

Hi. Good morning, everyone.

Jugal K. Vijayvargiya -- President and Chief Executive Officer

Good morning, Martin.

Joseph P. Kelley -- Vice President, Finance and Chief Financial Officer

Good morning, Martin.

Martin Englert -- Jefferies -- Analyst

I wanted to see if you can provide a little bit more detail and color around the headwinds in consumer electronics. I know you called out, some of this is due to displays in smartphones, maybe how you see that trending quarter-on-quarter and into 1Q? And then how the supply chain is adjusting to that? I'd be curious, when the destock started and whether you think that's getting close to the bottom or we're going to see continued headwinds over first half '19?

Jugal K. Vijayvargiya -- President and Chief Executive Officer

Yeah. So, Martin, let me give you some numbers and then try to give you some color around that. Our consumer electronics business in total, at the company level, we were basically flat year-over-year. However, in the fourth quarter, we were down about 9%. As you know, the destocking was really starting probably about Q1. We started to see the headwinds around that time. And then throughout the year, there was expectation that the destocking and just general sales would start to improve maybe in the back half of the year.

Unfortunately, I think, the market just didn't recover to the level that maybe everybody was expecting. As we look at our order entry and where we see things going, I think consumer electronics will continue to face some headwinds. First of all, Q1 is a very low consumer electronics quarter anyway, just based on seasonality. So, you've got the headwinds -- just general headwinds and market headwinds, both for seasonality. And then I think, we expect that the headwinds will continue into Q2. There's some expectation that maybe in the back half of this year, it will start to recover, but I just want to caution us that there was the same type of commentary last year as well and it didn't materialize.

So, I think we just have to be very, very cautious. We're looking at, from our standpoint, we're making sure that we have the right cost measures in place, the right pricing and measures in place to be able to make sure that from a profitability standpoint, we can weather the storm, sort of speak, as it happened this year as well. But I think, the great thing about our market -- our market positioning is that we're very diversified.

As you know, we've got really good positions in industrial and defense, and energy and medical and automotive and telecom infrastructure, et cetera. And I think that allows us to maybe deal with some of the headwinds in consumer electronics. So, even though consumer electronics was down 9% in Q4, for example, we still were able to hit a 3% year-over-year increase in our overall value-added sales. So, I mean, it is an issue for us, but it's one that we're basically dealing head-on and are trying to get more value-added sales through other markets, as well as making sure that the cost side of the equation is dealt with.

Martin Englert -- Jefferies -- Analyst

Thank you. I appreciate all the detail on that. Kind of delving into the year-on-year. So, it was flattish for the group. Can you talk about what is factored in for consumer electronics in your guide for 2019 on value-added sales?

Jugal K. Vijayvargiya -- President and Chief Executive Officer

Yeah. So, I think, we're going to see a challenging environment, I think, for the value added sales. As I indicated, I think, in the first half of the year, we expect consumer electronics to be down. And then perhaps in the second half of the year, I could see maybe a flat, perhaps a slight uptick, but I would expect it to be very, very close to just really just being flat.

So, in general, a slight negative is for the full year is what I would expect consumer electronics to be right now. But, let's see -- I mean, let's see, as the year progresses and see if the market recovers and reacts hopefully better than what I'm saying.

Martin Englert -- Jefferies -- Analyst

Thanks again for that detail. And if I could one last one. Could you discuss what you're seeing regarding the base price across some of your product portfolio and maybe what you've been able to achieve with the price increases as we move through 2019 here?

Jugal K. Vijayvargiya -- President and Chief Executive Officer

Yeah. So, value-based pricing has been a major initiative for us as part of our commercial excellence pillar. I mean, we've really gone through and looked at contract-by-contract and using a pricing database and tool that we have to understand what type of value we're planning for our customers and that, are we getting the right type of pricing for that value.

And I will tell you that, that has been a major initiative for us, and we made significant improvements in '18. We believe that there are still some opportunities for '19, certainly not to the level that we experienced in '18. But this is a very important item for us.

And then, the second thing that we're focused on is making sure that we don't get any new contracts with our customers, where the pricing model that we have doesn't reflect the value that we're providing. So, in general, it's a very important element for us in our commercial excellence pillar.

Martin Englert -- Jefferies -- Analyst

Okay. Thanks, again. And congratulations on the robust results throughout the course of the year.

Jugal K. Vijayvargiya -- President and Chief Executive Officer

Thank you.

Joseph P. Kelley -- Vice President, Finance and Chief Financial Officer

Thank you, Martin.

Operator

Our next question comes from the line of Edward Marshall with Sidoti. Please proceed with your question.

Edward Marshall -- Sidoti & Company -- Analyst

Hey, gentlemen. Good morning.

Jugal K. Vijayvargiya -- President and Chief Executive Officer

Hey. Good morning.

Edward Marshall -- Sidoti & Company -- Analyst

So, I want to start, I guess, on the AM. Given the guidance that you talked about from a revenue perspective and the commitment that you talked about the 15% range for operating margins, I'm curious, timing, if you can kind of put any timing to that margin discussion, so that we can kind of get a sense as to maybe what's embedded in your 2019 guidance for that business, but then also kind of the outlook and when you kind of get to the recovery there.

Jugal K. Vijayvargiya -- President and Chief Executive Officer

Yeah. So first, let me just start off and say that we are absolutely committed to getting that business back to historical margins. And we're doing everything we can to make sure that we're going to do that. And now let me provide a little bit of color, I think of, sort of what's happened with that business and where we see it going.

So, there are really two big things that hit that business in '18. One, consumer electronics. We just talked about it, right? I mean it's a major, major part of that business, is roughly 50% of the sales are consumer electronics for that business. So, any type of headwind is certainly going to have an impact.

The second thing is, we went through this transition from the Heraeus business over to our factory in Germany. And as we did that, number of things, one, general inefficiencies of a move from one plant to another plant. The second thing is, we had to go through and validate our entire glass business and customers with the glass business and then customers with the semi-conductor business. So, those combination of sales drop as a result of that, the sales drop is a result of the consumer electronics headwind and then the cost impacts of the actual move were just major, major impact items for us on that business.

Now, as we get into '19, let me kind of give you a flavor of how we see things. Well, consumer electronics, I just commented, based on Martin's question kind of how we see consumer electronics as a market. From a cost perspective, we've actually made significant improvements on the cost side as -- and in particular, the restructuring that we did, taking out about a third of the workforce in our German operation and that is complete by the way.

We completed that in Q4. And so, we should realize the full benefit of that here in '19. And then the third is the actual sales recovery of that business based on qualifying with our customers on the glass side, which we have now done a very good job. And I would say, for the most part, we really requalified with the glass customers and we're starting to get that sales back.

About the semiconductor customers, it just takes longer. So, that's going to run. That's going to run during the year. So, as I see -- as I see this business, I see every quarter would be my estimate that it will continue to improve. Our expectation is that we're reaching 15% at some point during the year. I would think it's going to be in the back half of the year, probably toward the fourth quarter. But every quarter, I expect that we're going to improve and exit the year going into 2020 at the historical margins.

Edward Marshall -- Sidoti & Company -- Analyst

And can you confirm for me that, that 15% by the fourth quarter is embedded in the guidance, look (ph) that you have for -- is that what you just said? I'm just curious.

Jugal K. Vijayvargiya -- President and Chief Executive Officer

Yeah. I mean, all the things that I just mentioned to you. The sales recovery, the glass business, the semiconductor, all of that I would say is really what we are -- what we've included in our estimation of what the business is going to do.

Edward Marshall -- Sidoti & Company -- Analyst

Got it. And so on the German facility, specifically to the fourth quarter, can you talk about maybe the revenue impact that the transition and if you want to break it down glass and semi, that would be great? And maybe the earnings or profit margin impact that, that business might have had on the transition from the one facility to the other.

Jugal K. Vijayvargiya -- President and Chief Executive Officer

Yeah. I can talk a little bit about the sales side. So, first of all, as you know, we don't break out specifically our sales and profit for a site or that part of the business. But I'll give you some general flavor around it. Certainly, we had more of an impact from the semiconductor side than we did from the glass side based on the requalification, but there was clearly sales impact.

We expect that sales impact to now go away as we get into '19, and as we continue to qualify more and more of our customers. So, there was an impact. In terms of the profit impact, I would say, is a fairly substantial impact. I mean, as I indicated, we adjusted about (ph) a third of our workforce, which should give us about a $3 million run rate improvement starting in '19.

So that right away, you can look at as a potential. I mean, you want to classify that as a hit in '18 and then, of course, the hit associated with the lower sales. So, it was a fairly substantial impact to our overall AM business. And that's why we feel that during the year, as we now get the customers back and as we have the full impact of this restructuring, we feel that we should be able to exit the year with historical margins.

Edward Marshall -- Sidoti & Company -- Analyst

Got it. And if I can (Technical Difficulty) to what, I think, seems to be driving the business and the results right now is PAC, some pretty good color there on what the business is doing. But I'm curious. Could you specifically talk about which pillar in particular is working in that to really drive the margin? I know some of that's market demand and so forth, but you've done a good job of getting to margins.

And then the second part, follow-up to that is, you've talked about historical profit levels. As I kind of walk back in the model, it looks kind of like high-single digits. You're already producing above that. So, do you assume that margin goes down? I just wanted to get some clarity on that. Thank you.

Jugal K. Vijayvargiya -- President and Chief Executive Officer

Yeah. So, let me just first talk about what's really, I think, some of the key contributing factors in our PAC business is to drive the improvement. So first, I have to say from a pillar standpoint, commercial excellence has really been a core part of what we've done in our business. And that goes from evaluating businesses that we shouldn't have perhaps been in or maybe the pricing wasn't the correct pricing. And so making sure that we go through and evaluate value-based pricing.

Looking at our mix that we have in different parts of the world, as we price new products that we are pricing them appropriately and then knocking on customers' door. I mean, let's face it, that business delivered 17%, I mean 17%, 17% year-over-year growth. Right? So, that's a substantial growth and that certainly wasn't just based on the market. So, our sales force, knocking on doors and promoting our products was a contributing factor. So clearly, commercial excellence was a big player.

Operational excellence who has been a very, very important element for us, both from the operating profit side, as well as from a cash flow and balance sheet side. We focused a lot on what the clients are doing and maybe (ph) looking at yields of certain operations, especially where we had bottlenecks, efficiency improvements. We've really done a substantial amount of work, getting the lean initiatives. We utilized, in fact, an outside firm that work with us and it's continued to work with us on lean initiatives and so operational excellence and then associated cash flow impact, as I said, with the inventory improvements as well. So, that's been a -- that's been a major improvement.

Certainly, the market mix, by the way helped us as well. I mean, defense and energy, which are really two good markets for us were up quite a bit in '18. As we look to '19, your point about historical margins, I mean, I certainly would not want this business to go to a 10% less (ph) of a margin, no way. But I would tell you that a lot of the tailwinds that we had in '18, I think those, we are going to be challenged in those tailwinds. Yeah. So, in particular, for example, the mix. So the mix is going to be a big factor for us, as we go year-over-year. I don't expect the same type of growth rates that we had. We had a 80% growth rate, for example, on energy, 33% growth rate on defense.

I mean, those are really, really substantial growth rates and are very good businesses for us. So, I think that is going to be challenged. This business is exposed to China. And so, as we all know, China has got a substantial slowdown that's happening right now. And then just general, overall macro environment that we have to deal with. So, I do -- the expectation that's in this business continue at 16% margins. I think is very, very optimistic expectation going forward. But I can assure you that we are focused on driving as much as possible in this business.

Edward Marshall -- Sidoti & Company -- Analyst

Great. I appreciate all your comments, guys. Thanks very much.

Jugal K. Vijayvargiya -- President and Chief Executive Officer

Thanks, Ed.

Operator

Our next question comes from the line of Phil Gibbs with KeyBanc. Please proceed with your question.

Philip Gibbs -- KeyBanc Capital Markets -- Analyst

Hey. Good morning.

Jugal K. Vijayvargiya -- President and Chief Executive Officer

Good morning, Phil.

Stephen F. Shamrock -- Vice President, Corporate Controller and Investor Relations

Good morning.

Joseph P. Kelley -- Vice President, Finance and Chief Financial Officer

Good morning, Phil.

Philip Gibbs -- KeyBanc Capital Markets -- Analyst

Question on the pension annuitization. Should we expect the expense levels to come down in 2019? If so, what's the potential reduction? And then secondarily, what should we be thinking about in terms of your contributions in '19 relative to the $42 million that you had in '18?

Jugal K. Vijayvargiya -- President and Chief Executive Officer

Yeah. Phil, when you look at our operating profit and you think about the annuitization, what we annuitized was retirees. And so we annuitized a portion of those that were receiving payments. And so that will have no impact on our OP, as it relates to pension expense included in operating profit going forward.

What has impact there is the discount rates in the asset return assumptions. And so when we look at '18 to '19, pension expense included in operating profit should be flat, relatively flat year-over-year is the answer.

Philip Gibbs -- KeyBanc Capital Markets -- Analyst

What about your expected contributions?

Jugal K. Vijayvargiya -- President and Chief Executive Officer

On the expected contributions next year in the plan is $6 million of cash contributions.

Philip Gibbs -- KeyBanc Capital Markets -- Analyst

Okay. So that's nice.

Jugal K. Vijayvargiya -- President and Chief Executive Officer

In 2019, still mix up by this year versus last year.

Philip Gibbs -- KeyBanc Capital Markets -- Analyst

Okay. Got it. So, that's a big change. So, that's good. And then just generally speaking, I know a lot has been right and a lot has been discussed about the potential tariffs between the US and China, who knows how it's all going to play out. But curious if you felt, like the potential for tariffs between the US and China had any impact on the business one way or another in 2018 from a supply chain reorientation, customers asking for material early, that sort of thing because particularly, I think, when we look at your fourth quarter results, certainly very strong in PAC, but bucked a lot of the normal seasonality that we tend to see in that business.

Jugal K. Vijayvargiya -- President and Chief Executive Officer

Yeah. So Phil, what I would say that for the full-year '18, I would say that I don't think we've experienced really a material impact based on the tariffs. But what I will tell you that I think in the fourth quarter, we started to see direct and indirect impact and in particular, for example, there was a substantial slowdown occurring, as you know, in China. And that substantial slowdown is starting to show up in our order intake.

Now, China, in total is not a very large part of our business. I mean, it's less than 10% of our business. So again, a small -- smaller amount of impact, but it's still an impact. So -- and then the general market uncertainty that's happened, I think, around tariffs, companies and I think, countries don't know exactly how things are going to settle out. I think it's caused just overall market weakness and that certainly played out, I think, in the fourth quarter, as we experienced even in our markets.

When you look at the type of growth rates that we had during the first three quarters and then the type of growth rates we had in the fourth quarter, you can see the difference. So, I would say, for the full year, really not a material impact for us, probably some impact in the fourth quarter. And then as we now enter into 2019, some of the -- especially, the China concerns and the China market slowdown, which I think have something to do with some of the uncertainty around tariffs, can have some impact on us, but again, it's not a large material impact for us.

Philip Gibbs -- KeyBanc Capital Markets -- Analyst

Thanks very much.

Operator

(Operator Instructions) Our next question comes from the line of Marco Rodriguez with Stonegate Capital. Please proceed with your question.

Marco Rodriguez -- Stonegate Securities -- Analyst

Good morning. And thank you for taking my questions.

Jugal K. Vijayvargiya -- President and Chief Executive Officer

Hi, Marco.

Joseph P. Kelley -- Vice President, Finance and Chief Financial Officer

Hey, Marco

Marco Rodriguez -- Stonegate Securities -- Analyst

Hey, guys. I wanted to kind of follow up on some of the line of questioning on operating margins, not necessarily for near-term specific guidance here. But just kind of bigger picture thinking in terms of the long-term margins, if I'm remembering correctly and then obviously listening to some of the commentary here as far as where you're targeting your operating margins on the various segments. You were looking at kind of a 15, or mid teens, if you will, operating margin on VA sales as kind of like a target, if you will.

So first, just want to make sure that I'm thinking about that correctly. And then just kind of listening to the commentary on the call here, it kind of sounds like, hitting that number, assuming there is no major macroeconomic headwinds in the next few years that maybe this is a 2020 event, where you try to kind of hit that normalized goal. Can you maybe talk a little bit about that?

Jugal K. Vijayvargiya -- President and Chief Executive Officer

Yeah. So, as you know, we have not and don't give out a long-term projection for margins. But I will tell you and as I indicated in my prepared remarks, we are focused on developing Materion as a high-performing Advanced Materials company delivering superior returns. I think those were the words I used. And so -- and we've also stated that, hey, that is approximately mid-teens type of margins.

Now, when we look at our historical performance and kind of where things have been, we were at 6% in 2016, we were roughly 7% in 2017, and we are at 9% in 2018, right? I mean that's been the step-up that we've done over the last two-year period. And so, substantial increase, I think, that has happened. What we're focused on, I would say, is that all three of our businesses need to be a double-digit margins.

Overall, I would say, mid-teens for the company. I think it's certainly going to take a little bit of time. I mean, we closed out at 9% in 2018. So, we certainly aren't going to get there in '19. And you mentioned '20, I'm not sure. '20 just seems to be around the quarter when you think about it. But I can assure you, we are committed to getting our business to mid-teens margins with all three businesses delivering double-digit margins.

Marco Rodriguez -- Stonegate Securities -- Analyst

Thanks. That's helpful. And then shifting here to some of the operational excellence that you've been putting into place over the last year or so. If you can maybe talk a little bit more about the yield and efficiency improvements and the working capital improvements. How much more room do you have there to make a big difference, if you will?

Jugal K. Vijayvargiya -- President and Chief Executive Officer

Yeah. I think, operational improvements and the lean journey is we say, it's a never-ending item, right? I mean, no matter what improvements you make, you can always go in and make more improvements. So, number one, I don't see it as something that -- it's a one-time event. I think it's a continuous activity and we're going to keep at it. I think our biggest impacts in operational improvements and sort of the lean journey were in our PAC business. So, I see PAC business continuing to be on this journey and then we got to add in a lot more of the AM business and the PC business as we move forward.

We got to look at our footprint rationalization, which is part of our lean journey and kind of where our customers are, where are we producing products, our facilities in general. I think that has to become a part of it. But that's not today or tomorrow. I think our bigger issue right now is just the basic blocking and tackling and getting yield and efficiency improvements across the board. So, I see this as a journey, we started on it and we're going to continue on it.

Marco Rodriguez -- Stonegate Securities -- Analyst

Got it. And lastly, Jugal, in your prepared remarks, you talked about your sales force kind of in the midst of creating a very efficient sales force. If maybe you could talk a little bit about what sort of activities or what sort of promotions or efforts you're making there to, what sounds like kind of beef up the sales force or make them more efficient?

Jugal K. Vijayvargiya -- President and Chief Executive Officer

Yeah. Yeah. So, we've done a number of things already, and we've got a number of things planned for 2019. But let me just highlight a couple of the big items. So number one, we've done a substantial amount of sales force training. We're working actually with an external company where we are doing training in globally. So, we have actually conducted a training in Asia.

We've conducted a training in Europe. We've done two sessions in North America, and I think we've got two more coming up here in North America. And so we are going to continue to add it, to really help our people understand how to go and market our products and technologies to our customers and help them understand the value that we provide. I mean, at the end of the day, if our people can't do that effectively, then we're not doing justice to our customers. So, that's number one.

Number two is really making sure that our sales people are located in the right places. And we can't have sales people sitting at our plants, because our customers aren't located at our plants. Our customers are located all over the world, and we got to make sure our sales people are located where our customers are. So, either ideally, if we can figure out a way to get our sales people at the customer's location but if not in their backyard.

And then, I think the other thing is we've got to make sure we incentivize properly, our sales people to deliver the right type of value-added sales growth. So, growth for the sake of growth, as we know, it can be very dangerous, but making sure that the right type of value-added sales is being delivered so that we can consistently deliver profitable growth. So, I noted (ph) some of the -- some of the main things I can highlight that we've been working on. But clearly, commercial excellence is a very important part of our go-forward strategy.

Marco Rodriguez -- Stonegate Securities -- Analyst

Got it. Is there an expectation that you need to grow the size of the sales force? Or you think you can maintain it and now (ph) just making them more efficient?

Jugal K. Vijayvargiya -- President and Chief Executive Officer

Yeah. I think it's being able to make it more efficient. I think it's very, very important. I think making sure the roles and responsibilities of the sales force are clearly defined and understood because you have inside sales, you have outside sales, you have product management, you have marketing management. And so making sure that all those things are properly defined so everybody understands their role, and they can properly block and tackle. And then each one of those individuals has the right skill set and capability through our training process.

Marco Rodriguez -- Stonegate Securities -- Analyst

Got it. Thanks a lot. Appreciate your time.

Jugal K. Vijayvargiya -- President and Chief Executive Officer

Thanks.

Stephen F. Shamrock -- Vice President, Corporate Controller and Investor Relations

Thank you.

Operator

Mr. Shamrock, we have no further questions at this time. I would now like to turn the floor back over to you for closing comments.

Stephen F. Shamrock -- Vice President, Corporate Controller and Investor Relations

Thank you. This is Steve Shamrock, and this concludes our fourth quarter 2018 earnings call. A recorded playback of this call will be available on the company's website, materion.com. We would like to thank all of you for participating on the call this morning and your interest in Materion. I will be available to answer any follow-up questions. My direct number is 216-383-4010. Thank you very much.

Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, this does conclude today's teleconference. You may disconnect your lines at this time. Thank you for your participation and have a wonderful day.

Duration: 51 minutes

Call participants:

Stephen F. Shamrock -- Vice President, Corporate Controller and Investor Relations

Jugal K. Vijayvargiya -- President and Chief Executive Officer

Joseph P. Kelley -- Vice President, Finance and Chief Financial Officer

Martin Englert -- Jefferies -- Analyst

Edward Marshall -- Sidoti & Company -- Analyst

Philip Gibbs -- KeyBanc Capital Markets -- Analyst

Marco Rodriguez -- Stonegate Securities -- Analyst

More MTRN analysis

Transcript powered by AlphaStreet

This article is a transcript of this conference call produced for The Motley Fool. While we strive for our Foolish Best, there may be errors, omissions, or inaccuracies in this transcript. As with all our articles, The Motley Fool does not assume any responsibility for your use of this content, and we strongly encourage you to do your own research, including listening to the call yourself and reading the company's SEC filings. Please see our Terms and Conditions for additional details, including our Obligatory Capitalized Disclaimers of Liability.

Friday, February 15, 2019

Hot Clean Energy Stocks To Buy For 2019

tags:CASS,RDNT,JJSF,SFLY,NVR,

Share price of Greaves Cotton touched 52-week high of Rs 159.90, rising 9.5 percent in the morning trade on Thursday as company board approved acquisition of majority stake in Ampere Vehicles.

The board has approved the proposal of investment in Ampere Vehicles by acquiring 67 percent in the first phase and further 13 percent in a span of three years.

This acquisition will accelerate the development of clean energy technology solutions for mobility needs of passengers and small businesses, company said in release.

The company to acquire 67 percent stake in Ampere for Rs 77 crore, which to be completed by December 31, 2018, while for another 13 percent stake the company to shell out another Rs 75.5 crore.

related news D-Street Buzz: Nifty FMCG outperforms led by United Spirits; ITC hits new 52-week high, PSU banks drag Tata Chemicals dips 2% after ICICI Prudential reduces its stake by 2% in Co

Ampere is one of the leading brands in the last mile mobility electric vehicles segment. It has strong in-house capabilities in designing, developing, manufacturing & marketing electric vehicles with a wide range of applications.

Hot Clean Energy Stocks To Buy For 2019: Cass Information Systems, Inc(CASS)

Advisors' Opinion:
  • [By Stephan Byrd]

    Bessemer Group Inc. bought a new position in shares of Cass Information Systems (NASDAQ:CASS) during the 2nd quarter, according to the company in its most recent filing with the Securities & Exchange Commission. The institutional investor bought 12,600 shares of the business services provider’s stock, valued at approximately $867,000. Bessemer Group Inc. owned approximately 0.10% of Cass Information Systems as of its most recent filing with the Securities & Exchange Commission.

  • [By Logan Wallace]

    Press coverage about Cass Information Systems (NASDAQ:CASS) has been trending somewhat positive this week, according to Accern Sentiment Analysis. The research group identifies negative and positive media coverage by analyzing more than 20 million news and blog sources in real time. Accern ranks coverage of public companies on a scale of negative one to one, with scores closest to one being the most favorable. Cass Information Systems earned a coverage optimism score of 0.18 on Accern’s scale. Accern also assigned media stories about the business services provider an impact score of 44.0125451243393 out of 100, indicating that recent media coverage is somewhat unlikely to have an impact on the stock’s share price in the immediate future.

Hot Clean Energy Stocks To Buy For 2019: RadNet, Inc.(RDNT)

Advisors' Opinion:
  • [By Ethan Ryder]

    RadNet Inc. (NASDAQ:RDNT) reached a new 52-week high during trading on Tuesday . The stock traded as high as $15.65 and last traded at $15.55, with a volume of 15009 shares changing hands. The stock had previously closed at $15.15.

  • [By Shane Hupp]

    Biocept (NASDAQ: RDNT) and RadNet (NASDAQ:RDNT) are both small-cap medical companies, but which is the better stock? We will compare the two businesses based on the strength of their analyst recommendations, risk, earnings, institutional ownership, dividends, valuation and profitability.

  • [By Ethan Ryder]

    These are some of the news articles that may have impacted Accern Sentiment Analysis’s scoring:

    Get RadNet alerts: Edited Transcript of RDNT earnings conference call or presentation 9-Aug-18 2:30pm GMT (finance.yahoo.com) Stocks Favored By Analysts: RadNet, Inc. (NASDAQ:RDNT) & RCI Hospitality Holdings, Inc. (NASDAQ:RICK) (baycityobserver.com) RadNet, Inc. (RDNT) stock closes -0.37% above from its SMA-50 (nasdaqplace.com) $241.29 Million in Sales Expected for RadNet Inc. (RDNT) This Quarter (americanbankingnews.com) Zacks: Analysts Expect RadNet Inc. (RDNT) to Announce $0.15 EPS (americanbankingnews.com)

    Shares of RDNT traded up $0.20 during trading hours on Friday, hitting $14.10. The stock had a trading volume of 128,336 shares, compared to its average volume of 171,176. The company has a debt-to-equity ratio of 4.49, a current ratio of 1.06 and a quick ratio of 1.06. The company has a market cap of $678.40 million, a PE ratio of 48.62, a P/E/G ratio of 5.02 and a beta of 0.32. RadNet has a 1-year low of $9.50 and a 1-year high of $15.50.

Hot Clean Energy Stocks To Buy For 2019: J & J Snack Foods Corp.(JJSF)

Advisors' Opinion:
  • [By Max Byerly]

    Get a free copy of the Zacks research report on J & J Snack Foods (JJSF)

    For more information about research offerings from Zacks Investment Research, visit Zacks.com

  • [By Ethan Ryder]

    News articles about J & J Snack Foods (NASDAQ:JJSF) have been trending positive recently, according to Accern. The research firm identifies positive and negative press coverage by monitoring more than twenty million news and blog sources in real time. Accern ranks coverage of public companies on a scale of negative one to one, with scores nearest to one being the most favorable. J & J Snack Foods earned a media sentiment score of 0.35 on Accern’s scale. Accern also assigned media headlines about the company an impact score of 46.1459784958457 out of 100, meaning that recent press coverage is somewhat unlikely to have an effect on the company’s share price in the near term.

  • [By Trey Thoelcke]

    If Coca-Cola is interested in expanding into snacks to be more like rival PepsiCo Inc. (NASDAQ: PEP), one place to start may be with either J&J Snack Foods Corp. (NASDAQ: JJSF) or TreeHouse Foods Inc. (NYSE: THS). They both have market caps of less than $3 million. J&J products include pretzels, desserts and more, while TreeHouse offers various snacks, baked goods and condiments. Both also have beverage offerings.

  • [By Stephan Byrd]

    ValuEngine upgraded shares of J & J Snack Foods (NASDAQ:JJSF) from a hold rating to a buy rating in a research note issued to investors on Tuesday.

  • [By Joseph Griffin]

    Get a free copy of the Zacks research report on J & J Snack Foods (JJSF)

    For more information about research offerings from Zacks Investment Research, visit Zacks.com

  • [By Ethan Ryder]

    Get a free copy of the Zacks research report on J & J Snack Foods (JJSF)

    For more information about research offerings from Zacks Investment Research, visit Zacks.com

Hot Clean Energy Stocks To Buy For 2019: Shutterfly Inc.(SFLY)

Advisors' Opinion:
  • [By Max Byerly]

    Get a free copy of the Zacks research report on Shutterfly (SFLY)

    For more information about research offerings from Zacks Investment Research, visit Zacks.com

  • [By Ethan Ryder]

    American Century Companies Inc. lifted its holdings in shares of Shutterfly, Inc. (NASDAQ:SFLY) by 208.9% during the second quarter, according to its most recent 13F filing with the Securities and Exchange Commission. The institutional investor owned 324,834 shares of the technology company’s stock after buying an additional 219,679 shares during the quarter. American Century Companies Inc. owned about 0.98% of Shutterfly worth $29,245,000 at the end of the most recent quarter.

  • [By Motley Fool Transcribers]

    Shutterfly Inc  (NASDAQ:SFLY)Q4 2018 Earnings Conference CallFeb. 05, 2019, 5:00 p.m. ET

    Contents: Prepared Remarks Questions and Answers Call Participants Prepared Remarks:

    Operator

  • [By Logan Wallace]

    Shutterfly, Inc. (NASDAQ:SFLY) SVP Ishantha Lokuge sold 2,514 shares of the stock in a transaction dated Wednesday, September 12th. The stock was sold at an average price of $72.73, for a total transaction of $182,843.22. Following the sale, the senior vice president now directly owns 2,514 shares in the company, valued at approximately $182,843.22. The sale was disclosed in a filing with the Securities & Exchange Commission, which is accessible through this link.

Hot Clean Energy Stocks To Buy For 2019: NVR Inc.(NVR)

Advisors' Opinion:
  • [By Stephan Byrd]

    GSA Capital Partners LLP lessened its holdings in NVR, Inc. (NYSE:NVR) by 12.7% during the 2nd quarter, according to the company in its most recent 13F filing with the Securities & Exchange Commission. The fund owned 819 shares of the construction company’s stock after selling 119 shares during the period. GSA Capital Partners LLP’s holdings in NVR were worth $2,433,000 as of its most recent filing with the Securities & Exchange Commission.

  • [By Tyler Crowe]

    It's very common for a stock to drop when it misses earnings estimates, but NVR's (NYSE:NVR) 8% stock drop after it beat earnings expectations is quite a rare case. A strange stock move like this raises a lot of questions about what happened with the quarter and what we can expect. 

  • [By Tyler Crowe]

    For a business that is supposed to be relatively seasonal and cyclical, NVR (NYSE:NVR) has been enjoying an impressive run of growth. Not only did the company deliver impressive top- and bottom-line expansion, but it also showed positive trends on just about every operating metric. If there was one thing to critique, it's how management is dividing up the benefits of these boom times. 

  • [By JJ Kinahan]

    Next week is big for housing numbers. March existing home sales figures are scheduled for  Monday and new home sales for March along with the February S&P Case-Shiller Home Price Index on Tuesday. As for homebuilders, Pulte Group, Inc. (NYSE: PHM) is scheduled to report  Q1 results Tuesday, and D.R. Horton Inc (NYSE: DHI) is scheduled to report fiscal Q2 numbers on Thursday. The industry already has seen strong Q1 results from Lennar Corporation (NYSE: LEN), and housing starts and building permits in March rose more than expected. These results, as well as those and the economic data from next week could provide clues for the industry going forward. After NVR, Inc. (NYSE: NVR) reports results this morning, Meritage Homes Corp. (NYSE: MTH) releases its Q1 results April 25. We’ll have to wait until next month for some of the other homebuilders, as well as from home improvement companies Home Depot, Inc. (NYSE: HD) and Lowe’s Companies Inc (NYSE: LOW), before we get a more complete snapshot of the housing market.

  • [By Stephan Byrd]

    NVR, Inc. (NYSE:NVR) Director Susan Williamson Ross purchased 70 shares of the company’s stock in a transaction on Tuesday, May 15th. The stock was purchased at an average price of $2,995.20 per share, for a total transaction of $209,664.00. Following the purchase, the director now directly owns 64,191 shares of the company’s stock, valued at approximately $192,264,883.20. The purchase was disclosed in a document filed with the Securities & Exchange Commission, which can be accessed through this link.